First shot at the title for Marquez in Japan

Author: Bike Social Sports Reporter Posted: 09 Oct 2014

Marc Marquez could take the title in Japan

Marc Marquez has his first shot at winning the 2014 MotoGP title this weekend at Honda's home circuit. In a straight fight at the front, Marquez has to do one thing - beat his team mate. However, if for some reason Marquez finds himself further down the table, just as he was two weeks ago at Aragon, things get a little more complicated.

The current championship standings look like this:

1. Marquez - 292
2. Pedrosa - 217 (-75 points)
3. Rossi - 214 (-78 points)
4. Lorenzo - 202 (-90 points)

Marquez needs to maintain that 75 point gap to his closest competitor if he's to be crowned champion on Sunday. With Rossi as close as he is to Pedrosa, the Italian's points matter almost as much in the sense that if both Marquez and Pedrosa are off the podium and Rossi finishes higher than 3rd, Marquez misses out on the title on this occasion.

The below table illustrates all possible finishing scenarios for Marquez and the highest position his rivals can be in for him to still take the title.

It reads as, if Marquez finishes X, then the highest Pedrosa can finish is Y... Any cell with a dash means that rider's result is irrelevant in those particular circumstances.

How Marquez can win the title...

 MARQUEZ

PEDROSA

ROSSI

LORENZO

 1st - - -
 2nd
3rd 3rd -
3rd
4th 4th -
 4th 5th 3rd -
 5th 6th 4th -
 6th 7th 4th -
 7th 8th 5th 2nd
 8th
9th 5th 2nd
 9th  10th 6th
2nd
 10th  11th  7th 2nd
11th
12th
8th
2nd
12th
 13th 9th
3rd
 13th  14th  10th  3rd
 14th 15th
 11th 3rd
 15th 16th
 12th 3rd
lower than 15th
lower than 15th
 13th 4th

Last time in Motegi...

Poor weather plagued last year's Japanese Grand Prix, with heavy fog causing major delays to the schedule. Jorge Lorenzo stormed to victory ahead of Marquez and Pedrosa. Marquez says Motegi was a difficult circuit for Honda last year despite being the test circuit for the Japanese marque.

Recap: Aragon

Marquez wouldn't have as tough a job in Japan had he not risked everything two weeks ago in Aragon. The Spaniard stayed out on slick tyres in much worsening conditions before dramatically falling out of the race. The only saving grace for the 2013 Champion was that his team mate crashed out too. Marquez re-mounted and even managed to extend his championship lead, finishing one point ahead of Pedrosa. Meanwhile at the front, Lorenzo bagged his first victory of the year.

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